Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2668.193539 2887.441868 3109.672182 3351.480285 3606.860881 3868.246536 4155.685832
2025-01-12 2301.564600 2626.802851 2968.999179 3354.674481 3776.042384 4221.237973 4725.959206
2025-01-19 1995.128016 2373.761378 2783.778673 3258.324969 3789.931284 4364.657693 5030.481915
2025-01-26 1885.337640 2317.823823 2796.796582 3362.545877 4008.398340 4718.659888 5554.651590
2025-02-02 1777.508642 2250.842183 2785.701906 3428.911747 4175.364938 5008.409548 6002.243735
2025-02-09 1648.836020 2148.364505 2723.803305 3427.662548 4257.143232 5195.501833 6328.894764
2025-02-16 1524.159055 2041.395128 2648.330880 3402.738695 4304.657305 5337.875107 6600.081039
2025-02-23 1446.605292 1985.820122 2628.993396 3439.790056 4421.294501 5557.919690 6959.965845
2025-03-02 1356.897932 1909.390650 2579.276190 3435.596551 4484.956477 5713.005482 7242.043498
2025-03-09 1301.750160 1872.863063 2575.480851 3484.733485 4610.910227 5940.917159 7610.273493
2025-03-16 1215.822837 1791.978130 2512.052143 3456.226478 4638.985565 6049.298480 7834.432608
2025-03-23 1179.822606 1774.014302 2526.316813 3523.379239 4783.892794 6298.563526 8228.741393
2025-03-30 1123.700423 1727.626492 2503.299213 3543.494721 4871.730835 6481.163233 8547.014041
2025-04-06 1064.393184 1674.093127 2468.681771 3546.938164 4937.578262 6636.655274 8833.234678
2025-04-13 968.641303 1565.605285 2357.218222 3446.536530 4867.919077 6621.348226 8906.986442
2025-04-20 959.278112 1577.187724 2405.481874 3555.139769 5066.010870 6940.788131 9396.862430
2025-04-27 936.146498 1567.788867 2424.376290 3624.277310 5213.164191 7196.974481 9809.586696
2025-05-04 889.437898 1522.098269 2391.754531 3622.976074 5267.588147 7335.538723 10075.306773
2025-05-11 837.303207 1465.924254 2342.379163 3597.012906 5288.026752 7429.809581 10284.802421
2025-05-18 809.811820 1445.011331 2341.123021 3635.608564 5393.197595 7632.475398 10632.244271
2025-05-25 770.170174 1403.849515 2309.609251 3631.240497 5440.220414 7759.882098 10884.126344
2025-06-01 750.029033 1391.574787 2318.579428 3682.419284 5561.513211 7983.747173 11260.413168
2025-06-08 706.736505 1341.254737 2270.820926 3652.728631 5572.499491 8063.397314 11451.269157